Comments for CrackedMarket http://crackedmarket.com Wed, 10 Feb 2016 03:53:35 +0000 hourly 1 Comment on The Trading Range is Here by Jani http://crackedmarket.com/2016/02/the-trading-range-is-here/#comment-6895 Wed, 10 Feb 2016 03:53:35 +0000 http://crackedmarket.com/?p=4564#comment-6895 Writing something right now.

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Comment on The Trading Range is Here by Pawan http://crackedmarket.com/2016/02/the-trading-range-is-here/#comment-6894 Wed, 10 Feb 2016 03:44:42 +0000 http://crackedmarket.com/?p=4564#comment-6894 Any updates since your last posting. What do you think about the markets now and the next move ?

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Comment on Three Ways to Trade this Volatility by Jani http://crackedmarket.com/2016/01/three-ways-to-trade-this-volatility/#comment-6872 Wed, 27 Jan 2016 16:12:16 +0000 http://crackedmarket.com/?p=4558#comment-6872 Glad you found it useful.

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Comment on Three Ways to Trade this Volatility by Jim Pinkerton http://crackedmarket.com/2016/01/three-ways-to-trade-this-volatility/#comment-6871 Wed, 27 Jan 2016 09:18:00 +0000 http://crackedmarket.com/?p=4558#comment-6871 Excellent post!

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Comment on What Does History Tell Us? by Jani http://crackedmarket.com/2016/01/what-does-history-tell-us/#comment-6868 Fri, 22 Jan 2016 03:41:00 +0000 http://crackedmarket.com/?p=4550#comment-6868 Loan defaults due to a decline in home prices did far more damage to our financial system than falling energy prices or a weak export sector ever could. We are an oil consuming, import fueled economy that will ultimately benefit from these developments.

Most likely the “next 2008” is another 15 years away. If I had to guess, we are in the late 80s and have another decade of gains before the next debilitating financial crisis. The seventies was our last “lost decade” and that was followed by a 20-year secular bull market. We had dips, corrections, bear markets, and the largest single-day selloff in stock market history during that period, but every dip was buyable until the 2000 peak.

Personally I think our Fed is done tinkering with QE no matter what the equity market does. 20% selloff are normal and healthy. But I do think QE worked really well and is now another arrow in the Fed’s quiver that will help us recover from the next crisis. Europe is only now waking up to this after their failed austerity left their economy miles behind the U.S.

Maybe this selloff breaches the 20% threshold, but because we are still in a secular bull market, these losses will be erased within a year, if not sooner.

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